Fire Weather

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
          
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2019

Valid 211700Z - 221200Z

No changes are needed to the ongoing outlook, with Elevated fire
weather conditions expected for a few hours this afternoon across
parts of southern/eastern GA and northern FL. While locally elevated
fire weather conditions are possible farther westward across
portions of the Florida Panhandle, the spotty/brief nature of
sustained wind speeds near 15 mph coupled with relatively marginal
fuel dryness for large fire starts precludes the expansion of the
Elevated fire weather area. See previous discussion below for more
information.

..Elliott.. 03/21/2019

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2019/

...Synopsis...
An upper trough/low will continue to move slowly eastward across the
Southwest, Great Basin, and central Rockies today. A belt of strong
mid-level west-southwesterly flow will remain over much of southern
AZ/NM through the period. A separate upper trough will move across
the eastern CONUS through the day, with enhanced mid-level westerly
flow overspreading much of the Southeast. At the surface, a low will
develop northeastward along/near the Mid-Atlantic Coast. A weak
trailing cold front will move southeastward over parts of the
Carolinas and GA through the period.

...Portions of Southern/Eastern GA and Northern FL...
Westerly surface winds around 15 mph will likely occur in
conjunction with lowered RH values of 25-35% across parts of
southern/eastern GA and northern FL for a few hours this afternoon.
Although fuel dryness appears marginal to support large fire starts,
fine fuels are probably dry enough per latest guidance. Have
therefore introduced an elevated delineation for parts of this
region. The southern extent of the elevated area in northern FL has
been constrained by recent precipitation.

...Portions of the Southwest...
A small area of strong/gusty southerly surface winds will likely
overlap RH values below 20% across parts of southeastern AZ and
southwestern NM this afternoon. However, latest guidance continues
to depict a general lack of fuel receptiveness across this region.
So, an elevated area has not been included.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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