Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Convective Tornado
Hail Wind
Categorical Day1 2000Z Outlook
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion

ACUS01 KWNS 131926
SPC AC 131925

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

Valid 132000Z - 141200Z


Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

...20Z Outlook Update...
Only minor changes have been made to the categorical (10 percent)
risk of thunderstorms line, mainly to account for the progression of
the cold front.  The front continues to advance slowly
southeastward, beneath the northwestern periphery of  mid-level
subtropical ridging centered over the southwestern Atlantic.

Relatively warm mid-level temperatures may generally tend to
suppress convection developing in response to daytime heating of the
moist boundary layer over the Florida Peninsula.  But a couple of
showers have begun to generate a few lightning strikes, and similar
such isolated to widely scattered activity may continue into  this

..Kerr.. 11/13/2018

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018/

Virtually no changes have been made to the ongoing forecast. 
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible today
and tonight over parts of southern GA and much of FL.  Forecast
soundings show poor lapse rates and minimal convergence/shear,
suggesting that lightning activity will be limited over land, and
the severe threat is low.