Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Convective Tornado
Hail Wind
Categorical Day1 0100Z Outlook
  
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion


000
ACUS01 KWNS 250037
SWODY1
SPC AC 250035

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0735 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

...SUMMARY...
Marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening across
parts of the eastern Carolinas and New Mexico.

...Eastern North Carolina/Far Northeastern South Carolina
The latest water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough over the
western Carolinas with a plume of mid-level moisture located just
ahead of the trough. At the surface, a cold front is moving
southeastward into the Appalachian foothills on the Atlantic side
with a corridor of low-level moisture ahead of the front. The
highest surface dewpoints are in the eastern Carolinas where they
range from the lower to mid 70s F. This is contributing to about
1000 J/kg of MLCAPE according to the RAP. The WSR-88D VWP at
Morehead City, NC shows 0-6 km of 40-45 kt which may be enough for
marginally severe wind gusts over the next hour.

...Southwest and Central New Mexico...
The latest radar imagery shows scattered thunderstorms ongoing
across southwestern and central New Mexico. The RAP is analyzing a
pocket of moderate instability in far southwestern New Mexico and
another in eastern and central New Mexico. The instability combined
some directional shear and steep lapse rates in the low to
mid-levels may be enough for a marginal wind damage or hail threat
over the next couple of hours.

..Broyles.. 06/25/2017

$$